Background: Monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL), a precursor to chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), is an understudied yet common premalignant condition present in ~8 million adults in the United States. Based on flow cytometry, MBL can be classified into two immunophenotypes: CLL-type (CD5, CD23, and CD20 co-expression) and non-CLL-type (CD5-negative). While the majority of the data to date pertains to CLL-type MBL, the available evidence indicates non-CLL-type MBL is also associated with an increased risk of hematologic malignancies. Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is another precursor condition associated with hematologic malignancies. The relationship between non-CLL-type MBL and CHIP and their combined effect remains unknown. Herein, we report findings on these two precursor conditions in the largest screening cohort to date.

Methods: Using flow cytometry, we screened for MBL in the Mayo Clinic Biobank participants who were 40 years or older with no prior history of hematologic cancers. Using whole-exome sequencing of whole-blood DNA, CHIP was screened on 291 genes related to myeloid (56 genes) or lymphoid malignancies (235 genes). Incident hematologic malignancies were detected during follow-up using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes in the medical record. All diagnoses were manually reviewed for confirmation. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between non-CLL-type MBL and CHIP. Time to incident hematologic malignancy was calculated from date of MBL screening to the earliest date of incident malignancy, withdrawal, death, last medical visit, or study end. Overall survival (OS) was calculated from date of MBL screening to date of death or last known alive. Multivariable Cox regression, adjusted for age, sex and residency, was used to investigate associations between non-CLL-type MBL and CHIP with clinical outcomes; with results reported using hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results: In total, 8,802 individuals with MBL screening and CHIP data were analyzed. Non-CLL-type MBL was detected in 249 (2.8%) individuals; 121 (49%) were male, and median age was 78 years (range, 47-95). We identified 757 (8.6%) individuals with CHIP in at least one of the 291 genes tested. The most frequently mutated CHIP genes were DNMT3A, TET2, ASXL1, PPM1D, and TP53. A total of 47 (0.5%) individuals had both non-CLL-type MBL and CHIP; the four genes with the highest number of CHIP variants in these individuals were DNMT3A (n=16), TET2 (n=10), ASXL1 (n=3), and ATM (n=3). An association between non-CLL-type MBL and any CHIP (OR=1.6, 95%CI:1.2-2.3, P=0.006) was observed. When analyzing CHIP in genes related to myeloid malignancies, the association with non-CLL-type MBL was also significant (OR=1.6, 95%CI:1.1-2.3, P=0.012); however, the association was not statistically significant for genes related to lymphoid malignancies (OR=1.6, 95%CI:0.8-3.3, P=0.165).

With a median follow-up of 5.4 years, 104 individuals developed incident hematologic malignancies (66 lymphoid and 38 myeloid malignancies). Non-CLL-type MBL (HR=3.5, 95%CI:1.9-6.5, P<0.001) and CHIP (HR=3.2, 95%CI:2.1-5.1, P<0.001) were each associated with increased risk of incident hematologic malignancies. Co-existence of both precursor conditions was associated with a substantially higher risk of incident hematologic malignancies (HR=10.3, 95%CI:4.0-26.2, P<0.001) compared to individuals with neither precursor condition. Among individuals with non-CLL-like MBL, any CHIP was a borderline significant predictor for incident hematologic malignancy (HR=3.6, 95%CI:1.0-12.9, P=0.049). Compared to individuals with no precursor conditions, OS was not significantly different in those with non-CLL-type MBL-only (HR=1.1, 95%CI:0.8-1.5, P=0.40), those with CHIP-only (HR=1.2, 95%CI:0.99-1.4, P=0.06), or those with both CHIP and non-CLL-type MBL (HR=1.3, 95%CI:0.8-2.1, P=0.39).

Conclusions: In the largest screening cohort to date evaluating the relationship of CHIP and non-CLL-type MBL, we found that non-CLL-type MBL and CHIP are associated with each other. Individuals with non-CLL-type MBL were more likely to have CHIP variants in DNMT3A, TET2, ASXL1, and ATM. Among individuals with non-CLL-type MBL, the presence of any CHIP was associated with increased risk of developing hematologic malignancy.

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